{"id":11441,"date":"2022-07-01T17:17:23","date_gmt":"2022-07-01T14:17:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.pozirk.online\/longreads\/kremlin-not-expected-to-transfer-nuclear-missiles-to-lukasenka-can-attack-baltic-states-from-belarus-expert-says\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T20:29:13","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T20:29:13","slug":"kremlin-not-expected-to-transfer-nuclear-missiles-to-lukasenka-can-attack-baltic-states-from-belarus-expert-says","status":"publish","type":"longreads","link":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/longreads\/11441\/","title":{"rendered":"Kremlin not expected to transfer nuclear missiles to \u0141uka\u0161enka, can attack Baltic states from Belarus, expert says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n <span>By Alaksandr K\u0142asko\u016dski, BPN<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t * Reproduction prohibited\n<\/p>\n<p>\n <b>The G7 leaders on June 27 expressed serious concern after the announcement by Russia that it could transfer missiles with nuclear capabilities to Belarus.<\/b>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Two days earlier, Alaksandr Luka\u0161enka asked Vladimir Putin to equip Belarus\u2019 warplanes for \u201ca mirror response\u201d to alleged NATO exercises near Belarus involving planes carrying nuclear bombs.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Putin said that Russia could upgrade Sukhoi Su-25 ground attack aircraft in service with the Belarusian Armed Forces and train pilots. The Russian president also promised to transfer nuclear-capable Iskander-M mobile short-range ballistic and cruise missile systems to Belarus in the next few months.\n<\/p>\n<h2> <span>Putin, \u0141uka\u0161enka putting on airs<\/span> <\/h2>\n<p>\n\t Jahor Lebiadok, a Minsk-based defense analyst, dismissed the announcement as theatrics. He noted that Belarus has enough nuclear-capable weapons of its own, left after the collapse of the Soviet Union, including the 152-mm 2S3 Akatsiya artillery systems and Tochka-U missile systems.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t The Russian nuclear-capable bombers, Tu-22 and Tu-160, fly over Belarus on a regular basis, allegedly on patrol missions. Earlier this week, the Ukrainian military intelligence said that Russian bombers had launched dozens of missiles at Ukraine from the Belarusian airspace \u201cto further involve Belarus into the war against Ukraine.\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Minsk and Moscow use nuclear threats to divert public attention and manipulate politicians and the public opinion in the West, Lebiadok told The Viewer. Their purpose is to make sure that \u201cforeign politicians waste their resources talking with \u0141uka\u0161enka in an attempt to drive a wedge [between him and the Kremlin].\u201d\n<\/p>\n<h2> <span>Nuclear weapons transfer makes no sense<\/span> <\/h2>\n<p>\n\t A transfer of nuclear weapons to the Belarusian ruler would be pain in the neck for the Kremlin and would not make any sense, Lebiadok said, noting that Moscow would lose control over its nuclear technologies.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Moreover, \u201ctactical nuclear weapons require infrastructure, not the bunkers, which \u0141uka\u0161enka, as he put it, has preserved from Soviet times,\u201d he added. \u201cThese are additional expenses and additional targets for the adversary.\u201d\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t He doubts that Putin will deliver on his promise to supply Iskander-M missile systems to Belarus in the next few months because Russia needs weapons in its war against Ukraine.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t It should be noted that \u0141uka\u0161enka has repeatedly expressed regret that Russia withdrew nuclear weapons from Belarus after the collapse of the Soviet Union.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t \u201cIf we had those weapons, they [the West] would be talking to us in a different way right now,\u201d he said in 2010.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t If the Kremlin supplied Belarus with nuclear weapons, \u0141uka\u0161enka might get heady with power and use the weapons recklessly against the West. He might also use the weapons to blackmail Moscow.\n<\/p>\n<h2> <span>\u0141uka\u0161enka said to be involved in planning<\/span> <\/h2>\n<p>\n\t Moscow creates uncertainty and distracts the West as it prepares for a surprise attack, Lebiadok said.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Russia has a plan to attack the Baltic states from Belarus and its implementation is just a question of time, he noted, adding that Moscow would like to capture Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania by surprise.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t \u201cThe Russians will not have a chance to take these countries bit by bit. All or nothing,\u201d he added.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Lebiadok pointed out that \u0141uka\u0161enka was involved in planning Russia\u2019s assault on Ukraine, just as he has been involved in planning a possible future campaign against the Baltic states. \u201cI think these measures have been fully coordinated,\u201d he said.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t If Russia attacks the Baltic countries, Belarusian troops are likely to be used to beef up security at the Belarusian-Ukrainian and the Belarusian-Polish borders to prevent any attacks on Russian forces, he said, and added that only Poland can immediately step into the fray.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Meanwhile, Dmitriy Peskov, spokesperson for the Kremlin, dismissed reports that Putin had discussed any plans to transfer nuclear weapons to Belarus. \u201cHe was talking about systems technically capable of carrying various types of weapons,\u201d he said.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t Russia\u2019s Iskander missile systems already have been deployed to Belarus. It does not matter much to Ukraine, Poland or Lithuania whether the systems will be transferred to the Belarusian Armed Forces or not. It does not make any difference who gives orders to attack, Putin or \u0141uka\u0161enka.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Alaksandr K\u0142asko\u016dski, BPN * Reproduction prohibited The G7 leaders on June 27 expressed serious concern after the announcement by Russia that it could transfer missiles with nuclear capabilities to Belarus. Two days earlier, Alaksandr Luka\u0161enka asked Vladimir Putin to equip Belarus\u2019 warplanes for \u201ca mirror response\u201d to alleged NATO exercises near Belarus involving planes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":75,"featured_media":0,"template":"","rubric":[22],"class_list":["post-11441","longreads","type-longreads","status-publish","hentry","rubric-theviewer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Kremlin not expected to transfer nuclear missiles to \u0141uka\u0161enka, can attack Baltic states from Belarus, expert says | Pozirk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"By Alaksandr K\u0142asko\u016dski, BPN * Reproduction prohibited The G7 leaders on June 27 expressed serious concern after the announcement by Russia that it could\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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